Let’s get to it.
All betting odds courtesy of BetMGM
Well, nicely, nicely. For the primary time in both Stanley Cup Playoff semifinal collection, we do not have a monster favourite of the -200 selection.
I suppose that is what occurs if you go to Long Island, NY.
If you’ve got watched even a little bit of Islander hockey these playoffs, you understand what awaits the Lightning tonight. A raucous, boisterous crowd that can be trying to one-up itself after its efficiency in Game 6 of the Isles-Bruins collection (New York crushed Boston, 6-2, in that elimination sport). And, should you’ve guess on Islander hockey this 12 months, then you understand simply how a lot they’ve loved a home-ice benefit.
All advised, the Isles went 22-12 in opposition to the unfold at dwelling and are 4-2 at dwelling throughout these playoffs. And as a lot because the Islanders have been a defensive powerhouse, they carry out higher on offense when on the Nassau Coliseum.
The Lightning, nevertheless, aren’t precisely slouches after they go away the Amalie Arena. Tampa Bay is 3-1 (straight-up and in opposition to the unfold) of their final 10 video games away from Florida. The staff has additionally applied a defensive sport plan outdoors of Tampa, going 0-4 in favor of the UNDER their final 10 video games.
Game 3 is a tricky one to guess on. It’s in all probability simple to only take the plus-money with the Islanders at dwelling and name it a day (will not argue with anybody who does, because the Isles are precisely the type of staff that may money a plus-money ticket), however bear in mind, these are the playoffs, and they are going in opposition to the defending champs; something can occur (simply take a look at what Montreal did to Vegas in Game 2).
You can take a look at that plus-money on the Isles however you may as well take a look at the cheap chalk the Lightning are getting; will it ever be this low-cost to guess on them once more, particularly in the event that they win this sport?
So, let’s shift gears a bit with tonight’s picks. Normally, I’d like to choose a winner or a facet on the whole (I do lean the OVER in tonight’s matchup, however will not guess it). People at all times wish to know who will win, or what number of objectives can be scored. But the fantastic thing about betting is there are such a lot of completely different angles you possibly can take with a sport to maximise your likelihood of profitable.
And on that be aware, enter: Nikita Kucherov.
Since making his playoff debut, Kucherov has been the engine that powers this Lightning assault. When he shines, they’ve shined. Consider this: Kucherov is presently driving a five-game level streak that has featured a whopping EIGHT assists (4 this collection already). He’s additionally performed a pivotal position on the man-advantage, securing PPPs in each sport this collection. The Islanders have had their palms full with Kucherov and have proven no indicators of stopping him. That objective (no pun meant) can be made much more troublesome if New York’s Jean-Gabriel Pageau skates at lower than 100% after leaving Game 2 late with an damage.
Suffice it to say, Kucherov is on a heater proper now, and whereas variance will inevitably strike, I do not suppose it occurs in Game 3 when Tampa will want his elite playmaking whereas skating in enemy territory.
I feel Kucherov retains his level streak alive tonight.
Pick(s): Nikita Kucherov OVER 0.5 Assists (-155) / OVER 0.5 Power-Play Points (-105)